Despite Uncertainty and Significant Downside Risk, Florida’s New General Revenue Forecast Adds $1.3 Billion to the Money Available for the New Budget

Florida TaxWatch’s Budget Watch report for March 2025 examines the state’s updated General Revenue forecast, which adds approximately $1.3 billion to the money available for the new state budget. After a long streak of collections exceeding estimates, January’s shortfall signals a shift amid mounting economic uncertainty.

The report details that, although year-over-year revenue growth is expected to be modest at 1.9 percent, strong gains from sales tax and investment earnings have significantly boosted the forecast. In contrast, corporate income tax estimates were trimmed, reflecting a more cautious outlook. These updated figures will play a key role as the 2025 Legislature shapes the new state budget.