Could Florida Experience a Significant Water Shortage?

2025 Update

Could Florida Experience a Water Shortage? — 2025 Update (Report Cover)

Florida’s Water Future: A 2025 Review of Funding Strategies and Policy Needs updates last year’s analysis of statewide water supply risks and financing. New EDR projections show a widening state funding gap—more than $50 million in FY 2025-26—with total demand still trending upward through 2045. While Florida continues to invest heavily in Everglades restoration, water quality, and resiliency, water-supply dollars are fragmented and too often routed via member projects rather than through transparent, criteria-driven programs.

The commentary highlights several pressure points: daily water use already exceeds seven billion gallons; demand is projected to rise by ~750 million gallons per day by 2045; and meeting supply needs will require roughly $2.4 billion statewide, with an estimated $777 million state share. An additional $1.4 billion is needed to sustain natural systems (excluding Everglades), including springs, aquifers, and water bodies. These needs compound as drought, heat, sea-level rise, and saltwater intrusion stress regional sources.

What Florida TaxWatch recommends: (1) establish a five-year Water Project Work Program to unify planning, selection, and multi-year budgeting; (2) reinstate a dedicated funding stream to stabilize supply investments (e.g., restore distributions that previously supported water programs); and (3) prioritize projects using consistent, data-driven criteria—coordinated among DEP, water management districts, and local governments—to maximize outcomes per dollar and reduce ad-hoc earmarking.

Meet the Authors:

Taylor Thorne
Taylor Thorne
Intern | Lead Author
LinkedIn
Kurt Wenner
Kurt Wenner
Senior Vice President of Research | Contributing Author
LinkedIn
Jessica Cimijotti-Little
Jessica Cimijotti-Little
Research Analyst | Contributing Author
LinkedIn

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Interdisciplinary Pain Management As a Means to Help Address Solvency of the State Employees' Health Insurance Trust Fund

Interdisciplinary Pain Management As a Means to Help Address Solvency of the State Employees' Health Insurance Trust Fund

With the Trust Fund projected to face a nearly $1.7 billion shortfall by FY 2029-30 without action, Florida TaxWatch outlines a pragmatic path that reduces costs by treating pain more effectively—not just shifting them to employees.

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Could Florida Experience a Significant Water Shortage?

Could Florida Experience a Significant Water Shortage?

New EDR projections show a widening state funding gap—more than $50 million in FY 2025-26—with total demand still trending upward through 2045.

Read more
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