For millions of Floridians, the defining economic question of the mid-2020s isn't about growth or GDP — it's about whether they can still afford to stay.

For the second year in a row, the Florida Legislature ended its 60-day session without completing its only constitutionally required task — passing a state budget. House Speaker Daniel Perez cited a "fundamental disagreement on what the state budget should look like," with the House seeking to spend less and the Senate more. The House and Senate budget proposals total $113.6 billion and $115.0 billion, respectively.

Florida's economy reached $1.85 trillion in Q3 2025, ranking first among all 50 states and the District of Columbia in economic growth. This fourth installment of Florida TaxWatch's quarterly economic forecast series — produced in partnership with the Regional Economic Consulting Group — examines whether that momentum is sustainable through 2035.

Florida’s Law Enforcement Apprenticeship Program (LEAP) is an innovative workforce solution addressing persistent staffing shortages in law enforcement, particularly in rural and fiscally constrained communities. Backed by $3.25 million in state funding, the program currently supports 117 apprentices across 25 Sheriff’s Offices, allowing participants to earn a salary while completing required training. By removing financial barriers to entry, LEAP is expanding access to law enforcement careers, strengthening local recruitment pipelines, and helping agencies improve staffing levels while building a more diverse and sustainable workforce.

Manufacturing is one of Florida’s leading industries and a key driver of job growth and economic strength, contributing more than $80 billion to Florida’s annual GDP. With more than 27,000 manufacturers—most of them small businesses with fewer than 20 employees—Florida’s manufacturing sector supports more than 430,000 high-wage jobs, with average salaries exceeding $78,000.