The TaxWatch Research Blog

The TaxWatch Research Blog is a forum where our research staff can address topics and issues in a short format. Keep an eye on this space during Legislative Session for frequent posts making sense of the activity at the Capitol. 

The Census Undercount Limits Florida’s Political Influence

The Census Undercount Hurts Florida’s Political Influence Report Cover

The Census Undercount Hurts Florida’s Political Influence demonstrates that the 2020 Census missed about 750,000 Floridians — 3.48 % of the population. Correcting that error with U.S. Census Bureau methodology shows the undercount shifted three U.S. House seats nationally: Colorado, Minnesota, and Rhode Island would each lose a seat, while Florida, Tennessee, and Texas would each gain one — raising Florida’s delegation to 29 seats instead of 28.

Every House seat equals one electoral vote, so the miscount also diverted three electoral votes away from Florida‑leaning states; in the razor‑thin 2024 presidential contest, that swing alone could have altered the Electoral College result. Inside Congress, where landmark legislation has passed by a single vote (215‑214), Florida’s missing representative could likewise decide national policy.

To prevent a repeat in 2030, the report calls on Florida’s business and community leaders to:

  • Stay informed through Florida TaxWatch’s Census Institute.
  • Act as trusted messengers, explaining that census data are confidential and vital.
  • Lend their voices to advocate for state funding and local Complete Count Committees.
  • Invest early in grassroots outreach — especially in hard‑to‑count immigrant communities — to ensure every resident is counted.

An accurate census is not a statistical formality — it safeguards Floridians’ representation in Congress and influence in presidential elections. Florida TaxWatch will continue convening stakeholders and advancing reforms so the state receives the voice it has earned.

Meet the Author:

Meg Cannan
Meg Cannan
Senior Research Analyst
LinkedIn

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